SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
46.86% ( -0.12) | 25.6% ( 0.03) | 27.54% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.16% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.68% ( -0.05) | 51.32% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.85% ( -0.05) | 73.15% ( 0.05) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.1% ( -0.07) | 21.9% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.85% ( -0.11) | 55.15% ( 0.11) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.78% ( 0.04) | 33.22% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.17% ( 0.05) | 69.83% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 1-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 46.85% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 27.54% |
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