Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
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