Knowing that they must win to keep their title hopes alive, Lens look set to notch a fifth successive victory this weekend, although the hosts are expected to make life difficult for their visitors.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 17.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.67%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
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