In a mid-table encounter, there may not be much between the two sides, with the added sub-plot of Toulouse's cup final to come next week possibly on their minds.
Only one of the last 16 meetings between these sides have seen more than two goals, and this encounter looks set to follow a similar pattern.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Toulouse in this match.
-0.72) 
0.86) 
