Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Lens had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Lens
42.47% ( 0.01)	23.57%	33.96% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 62.48% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.69% (

-0.01)

39.31% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.36% (

-0)

61.64% (

0.01)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.13% (

-0)

18.87% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.67% (

-0)

50.33%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77% (

-0.01)

22.99% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.2% (

-0.01)

56.79% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 42.47%

Lens 33.96%

Draw 23.56%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Lens
2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.03% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 3.62% 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 42.47%	1-1 @ 10.63% 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.56%	1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.38% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.69% 1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.18% Total : 33.96%