These teams may be separated by 16 points in the standings at the moment, but Lorient have shown tremendous effort in recent games and might be due for a break in this encounter.
Les Merlus have beaten Lens in five of their previous six home fixtures, failing to concede to them in each of those victories, and this group have fared well against teams in the top half of the table, defeating Monaco, Lille and Nice.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
