There is no doubt in our minds that Saturday's contest should live up to the billing, with Lens proving to be a near-unbreakable force at home while Monaco find the back of the net for fun on the road.
Clement's defence is not the most watertight, though, and one year on from the sides playing out a 2-2 draw at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis, we can envisage an identical four-goal stalemate between two attack-minded outfits, as Haise's side retain their grip on third place for the time being.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
-0.47) 
0.03) 
