SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 81.72%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 7.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.75%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lorient |
81.72% ( -0) | 11.19% ( 0.01) | 7.09% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 57.26% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.85% ( -0.06) | 22.15% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.89% ( -0.08) | 41.1% ( 0.08) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.96% ( -0.01) | 4.04% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.99% ( -0.04) | 17.01% ( 0.04) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.67% ( -0.07) | 40.33% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.04% ( -0.06) | 76.95% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lorient |
| 3-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 8.15% 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 4.62% 5-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 2.47% ( -0)6-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)7-0 @ 1.13% ( -0)7-1 @ 1.03% ( -0)6-2 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 4.35% Total : 81.72% | 1-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0)0-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 11.19% | 1-2 @ 2.16% 0-1 @ 1.48% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.41% Total : 7.09% |
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