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Friday, April 26
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Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 10, 2021 at 7pm UK
Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)
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Ludogorets
2 - 2
Olympiacos

Ludogorets win 4-1 on penalties
Semedo (49' og.), Soteriou (57' pen.)
Badji (27'), Despodov (44'), Verdon (66'), Dambrauskas (74')
FT
(aet)
M'Vila (31'), El-Arabi (68' pen.)
Ba (33'), Reabciuk (82')
Ba (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 20.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 1-0 (5.93%).

Result
Ludogorets RazgradDrawOlympiacos
20.79%22.84%56.37%
Both teams to score 53.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.99%46.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.68%68.31%
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.74%36.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.96%73.04%
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.87%16.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.45%45.55%
Score Analysis
    Ludogorets Razgrad 20.79%
    Olympiacos 56.36%
    Draw 22.83%
Ludogorets RazgradDrawOlympiacos
1-0 @ 5.93%
2-1 @ 5.49%
2-0 @ 3.01%
3-1 @ 1.86%
3-2 @ 1.7%
3-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 20.79%
1-1 @ 10.82%
0-0 @ 5.85%
2-2 @ 5.01%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.83%
0-1 @ 10.66%
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-2 @ 9.73%
1-3 @ 6.01%
0-3 @ 5.92%
2-3 @ 3.05%
1-4 @ 2.74%
0-4 @ 2.7%
2-4 @ 1.39%
1-5 @ 1%
0-5 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 56.36%

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