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LT
Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
B

Luton
3 - 1
Blackpool

Ruddock (45+2', 76'), Morris (72')
Morris (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lyons (29')
Thorniley (42'), Fiorini (47')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 0-0 Luton
Friday, April 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 1-3 Cardiff
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-0 Blackpool

Luton are expected to record another slender home victory against an injury-ravaged opponent to claim a fourth straight win at Kenilworth Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Blackpool had a probability of 16.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Blackpool win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawBlackpool
61.39% (-0.395 -0.39) 22.32% (0.026 0.03) 16.29% (0.369 0.37)
Both teams to score 47.07% (0.698 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.57% (0.522 0.52)50.43% (-0.522 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.64% (0.459 0.46)72.36% (-0.45999999999999 -0.46)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.04% (0.045999999999992 0.05)15.95% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.76% (0.086999999999996 0.09)45.23% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.01% (0.8 0.8)43.99% (-0.802 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.88% (0.649 0.65)80.11% (-0.651 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 61.39%
    Blackpool 16.29%
    Draw 22.31%
Luton TownDrawBlackpool
1-0 @ 12.88% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-0 @ 11.82% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.23% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.94% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.32% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.73% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.068 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.033 0.03)
5-1 @ 1% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 61.39%
1-1 @ 10.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 22.31%
0-1 @ 5.76% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.34% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.37% (0.055 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.19% (0.055 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 16.29%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Millwall 0-0 Luton
Friday, April 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-0 Watford
Saturday, April 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-1 Luton
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Bristol City
Wednesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-1 Luton
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 1-3 Cardiff
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 3-1 Blackpool
Saturday, April 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 1-4 Coventry
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 6-1 QPR
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-0 Blackpool
Saturday, March 11 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Burnley
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship


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