SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | Draw | Real Sociedad |
30.01% ( -2.5) | 25.8% ( -2.63) | 44.19% ( 5.13) |
| Both teams to score 53.06% ( 6.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.13% ( 9.25) | 50.87% ( -9.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.25% ( 7.58) | 72.75% ( -7.57) |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.85% ( 3.01) | 31.14% ( -3.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.52% ( 3.37) | 67.47% ( -3.37) |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.06% ( 6.99) | 22.94% ( -6.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.28% ( 9.32) | 56.71% ( -9.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 8.33% ( -2.65) 2-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.86% ( -1.04)3-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.51)3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.22)Other @ 2.93% Total : 30.01% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.97) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -3.08)2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.98)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.39)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 10.51% ( -1.82) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( 1.04)0-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.31)1-3 @ 4.43% ( 1.22)0-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.81)2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.86)1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.66)0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.5)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.43)Other @ 2.09% Total : 44.18% |
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