Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Machida Zelvia	Draw	Albirex Niigata
42.77% ( 0.57)	26.51% ( 0.04)	30.72% ( -0.6)

Both teams to score 51.2% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.56% (

-0.36)

53.44% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.03% (

-0.3)

74.97% (

0.3)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.24% (

0.13)

24.76% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.68% (

0.18)

59.32% (

-0.18)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.05% (

-0.61)

31.95% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.59% (

-0.7)

68.41% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

Machida Zelvia 42.76%

Albirex Niigata 30.72%

Draw 26.51%

Machida Zelvia	Draw	Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.53% Total : 42.76%	1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.51%	0-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.76% Total : 30.72%