J1 League | Gameweek 11
May 3, 2024 at 7am UK
Machida Gion Stadium (Tokyo)
Oh (9'), Araki (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Yamada (42'),
Grot (90+5')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Machida Zelvia and Kashiwa Reysol.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 43.99%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 27.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.68%) and 1-2 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Machida Zelvia win it was 1-0 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result |
Machida Zelvia | Draw | Kashiwa Reysol |
27.96% ( -0.59) | 28.04% ( 0.37) | 43.99% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 45.38% ( -1.33) |
39.82% ( -1.52) | 60.18% ( 1.52) |
19.62% ( -1.17) | 80.38% ( 1.17) |
62.35% ( -1.31) | 37.65% ( 1.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.57% ( -1.3) | 74.43% ( 1.3) |
72.78% ( -0.59) | 27.21% ( 0.6) |