Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Albirex Niigata	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
39.97% ( 0.84)	26.56% ( -0.02)	33.47% ( -0.82)

Both teams to score 51.97% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.12% (

-0.05)

52.88% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.51% (

-0.04)

74.49% (

0.04)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.03% (

0.43)

25.97% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.02% (

0.58)

60.98% (

-0.59)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.19% (

-0.55)

29.8% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.12% (

-0.67)

65.88% (

0.67)

Score Analysis

Albirex Niigata 39.96%

Avispa Fukuoka 33.47%

Draw 26.56%

Albirex Niigata	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.32% Total : 39.96%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.56%	0-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.4% Total : 33.47%