SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 1-0 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maidstone United | Draw | Chelmsford City |
31.34% ( -0.31) | 25.07% ( -0.08) | 43.59% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 56.13% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.83% ( 0.24) | 47.17% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.6% ( 0.22) | 69.4% ( -0.22) |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.63% ( -0.09) | 28.36% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.9% ( -0.11) | 64.1% ( 0.11) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% ( 0.28) | 21.64% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.23% ( 0.43) | 54.76% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidstone United | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 1-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.4% 3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.34% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.62% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.46% Total : 43.59% |
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