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National League South | Gameweek 37
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground

Chelmsford City
2 - 0
Aveley

James (45+3'), Francis (68')
Winfield (45+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Carr (45'), Kelly (45+6')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Aveley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farnborough 1-1 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 1-2 Aveley
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 51.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Aveley had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for an Aveley win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawAveley
51.44% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09) 25.75% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 22.8% (0.084 0.08)
Both teams to score 47.33% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.54% (0.052 0.05)55.46% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.35% (0.042000000000002 0.04)76.65% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.39% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)21.61% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.29% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)54.71% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.38% (0.11 0.11)39.62% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.7% (0.103 0.1)76.3% (-0.10199999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 51.43%
    Aveley 22.8%
    Draw 25.75%
Chelmsford CityDrawAveley
1-0 @ 13.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.04% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.3%
3-0 @ 5.13% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 51.43%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.56% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 7.93% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.62% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.67% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.33% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 22.8%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Farnborough 1-1 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-0 Yeovil
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 1-4 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 0-3 Chelmsford City
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-0 Weymouth
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 1-2 Aveley
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-2 Aveley
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-0 Maidstone
Monday, February 19 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 0-1 Aveley
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 0-3 Worthing
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 2-2 Aveley
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League South


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