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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Farnborough Town win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Farnborough Town | Draw | Chelmsford City |
33.98% ( -0.08) | 24.95% ( -0.03) | 41.07% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 57.49% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.19% ( 0.12) | 45.82% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.87% ( 0.12) | 68.13% ( -0.11) |
| Farnborough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.95% ( 0.01) | 26.06% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.91% ( 0.01) | 61.1% ( -0.01) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% ( 0.11) | 22.26% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.31% ( 0.17) | 55.7% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Farnborough Town | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 3.33% Total : 33.98% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.94% | 1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 41.07% |
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