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National League South | Gameweek 35
Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hemps.
1 - 4
Chelmsford City

Briscoe (32')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Alexander (3'), Francis (28'), Ruff (47', 50')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 1-2 Weston
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 0-3 Chelmsford City
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 51.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 1-0 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawChelmsford City
23.48% (-3.272 -3.27) 24.87% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 51.64% (3.335 3.34)
Both teams to score 50.64% (-2.945 -2.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.51% (-2.343 -2.34)51.48% (2.333 2.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.7% (-2.08 -2.08)73.29% (2.07 2.07)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.24% (-4.059 -4.06)36.75% (4.051 4.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.46% (-4.294 -4.29)73.53% (4.284 4.28)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.07% (0.44499999999999 0.44)19.92% (-0.455 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.93% (0.721 0.72)52.06% (-0.73 -0.73)
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 23.48%
    Chelmsford City 51.64%
    Draw 24.87%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawChelmsford City
1-0 @ 7.33% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-1 @ 5.92% (-0.704 -0.7)
2-0 @ 3.67% (-0.494 -0.49)
3-1 @ 1.98% (-0.493 -0.49)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.37 -0.37)
3-0 @ 1.22% (-0.327 -0.33)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 23.48%
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.659 0.66)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.493 -0.49)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.87%
0-1 @ 11.81% (1.22 1.22)
1-2 @ 9.54% (0.114 0.11)
0-2 @ 9.53% (1.098 1.1)
1-3 @ 5.13% (0.132 0.13)
0-3 @ 5.12% (0.654 0.65)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.226 -0.23)
1-4 @ 2.07% (0.082 0.08)
0-4 @ 2.07% (0.288 0.29)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 51.64%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 1-2 Weston
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 1-1 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 4-3 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 1-2 Welling United
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 2-1 Farnborough
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Yeovil 2-0 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 0-3 Chelmsford City
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-0 Weymouth
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-1 Weston
Monday, January 29 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 0-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-0 Welling United
Monday, January 22 at 7.45pm in National League South


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