Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 51.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 1-0 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Chelmsford City
23.48% ( -3.27)	24.87% ( -0.07)	51.64% ( 3.34)

Both teams to score 50.64% (

-2.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.51% (

-2.34)

51.48% (

2.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.7% (

-2.08)

73.29% (

2.07)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.24% (

-4.06)

36.75% (

4.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.46% (

-4.29)

73.53% (

4.28)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.07% (

0.44)

19.92% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.93% (

0.72)

52.06% (

-0.73)

Score Analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 23.48%

Chelmsford City 51.64%

Draw 24.87%

Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Chelmsford City
1-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.7) 2-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.49) 3-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.49) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.37) 3-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.33) Other @ 1.77% Total : 23.48%	1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.66) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.49) Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.87%	0-1 @ 11.81% ( 1.22) 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 9.53% ( 1.1) 1-3 @ 5.13% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.65) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.23) 1-4 @ 2.07% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 2.07% ( 0.29) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.78% Total : 51.64%