SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 51.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 1-0 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Chelmsford City |
23.48% ( -3.27) | 24.87% ( -0.07) | 51.64% ( 3.34) |
| Both teams to score 50.64% ( -2.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.51% ( -2.34) | 51.48% ( 2.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.7% ( -2.08) | 73.29% ( 2.07) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.24% ( -4.06) | 36.75% ( 4.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.46% ( -4.29) | 73.53% ( 4.28) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.07% ( 0.44) | 19.92% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.93% ( 0.72) | 52.06% ( -0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 1-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.7)2-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.49)3-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.49)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.37)3-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.33)Other @ 1.77% Total : 23.48% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.66)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.49)Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 11.81% ( 1.22) 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 9.53% ( 1.1)1-3 @ 5.13% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.65)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 2.07% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 2.07% ( 0.29)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.78% Total : 51.64% |
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