SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maidstone United | Draw | Torquay United |
42.56% ( 0.05) | 24.95% ( 0.01) | 32.49% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 57% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.76% ( -0.08) | 46.24% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.46% ( -0.08) | 68.54% ( 0.08) |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.27% ( -0.01) | 21.73% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.1% ( -0.02) | 54.9% ( 0.02) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.83% ( -0.08) | 27.17% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.42% ( -0.11) | 62.58% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidstone United | Draw | Torquay United |
| 1-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 42.56% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.49% |
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