SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.67%) and 3-1 (5.35%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Torquay United |
43.78% ( 0.19) | 22.15% ( -0.05) | 34.07% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 67.93% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.8% ( 0.24) | 32.2% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.2% ( 0.28) | 53.8% ( -0.27) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.52% ( 0.17) | 15.48% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.63% ( 0.3) | 44.37% ( -0.3) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.37% ( 0.05) | 19.63% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.42% ( 0.08) | 51.58% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Torquay United |
| 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.12% Total : 43.78% | 1-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.15% | 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 34.07% |
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