SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 65.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torquay United | Draw | Dover Athletic |
65.2% ( 0.02) | 19.8% ( -0.01) | 15% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 52.15% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.9% ( 0.06) | 42.1% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.49% ( 0.06) | 64.5% ( -0.06) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.86% ( 0.02) | 12.13% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.28% ( 0.05) | 37.72% ( -0.05) |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.35% ( 0.04) | 40.64% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.76% ( 0.03) | 77.23% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torquay United | Draw | Dover Athletic |
| 2-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 7.71% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.07% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.72% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0)Other @ 3.53% Total : 65.18% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.8% | 0-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.22% ( 0)0-2 @ 2% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 1.75% Total : 15% |
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