Mallorca have drawn 11 of their 21 league matches this season and are difficult to beat despite their lowly position in the table. Real Betis are missing a number of important players, meanwhile, so we are struggling to back either with any confidence and have therefore ultimately settled on a low-scoring draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Betis in this match.
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