SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Mallorca |
40.55% ( 0.09) | 28.36% ( 0.15) | 31.08% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 45.92% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.81% ( -0.59) | 60.19% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.61% ( -0.45) | 80.38% ( 0.45) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.9% ( -0.23) | 29.09% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.98% ( -0.29) | 65.01% ( 0.29) |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.77% ( -0.49) | 35.23% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.01% ( -0.51) | 71.98% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burgos | Draw | Mallorca |
| 1-0 @ 12.65% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 1.59% Total : 40.55% | 1-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.36% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.11% Total : 31.08% |
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