Almeria are a very difficult team to back this season, and we are again struggling to predict a win for them here. Mallorca will enter the match off the back of successive wins, but Almeria were much-improved against Atletico, and we are expecting the points to be shared on Sunday afternoon.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 37.32%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-0.01) 
0.2) 
