Villarreal have only won three times at home in La Liga this season, but they will be welcoming a Mallorca outfit that have just one away league success to their name in 2023-24. Mallorca are proving difficult to beat at the moment, and Villarreal are not in good form, so we can see a low-scoring draw in this contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.51) 
-0.19) 
