While Mallorca have certainly improved in recent weeks, we see Sunday as too tall of a task for them to come away with a result.
Pellegrini's men have been formidable throughout most of the campaign, and, with home advantage and in a three-game winning run, we expect them to get over the line again in their pursuit of a top-four finish.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 56.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Betis in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Betis.
