SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mallorca in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Las Palmas |
43.53% ( -0.09) | 26.44% | 30.03% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 51.1% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.59% ( 0.05) | 53.42% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.06% ( 0.04) | 74.95% ( -0.03) |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.63% ( -0.02) | 24.37% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.23% ( -0.04) | 58.77% ( 0.04) |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.57% ( 0.1) | 32.44% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.04% ( 0.1) | 68.96% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 43.53% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 30.03% |
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