Atletico's away form has been so disappointing this season, and Mallorca do not give up many goals in front of their own fans, so we are struggling to back an away success with any real conviction. Mallorca are fighting for points to stay out of the bottom three, meanwhile, and we can see a low-scoring draw occurring this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.
0.2) 
-0.03) 
