SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 66.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Hacken had a probability of 16.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.32%), while for a Hacken win it was 1-2 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Hacken |
66.08% ( 0.07) | 17.54% | 16.38% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 64.29% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.84% ( -0.14) | 28.16% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.06% ( -0.18) | 48.94% ( 0.17) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.97% ( -0.02) | 8.03% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.72% ( -0.06) | 28.28% ( 0.05) |
| Hacken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.9% ( -0.17) | 30.09% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.76% ( -0.2) | 66.23% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | Hacken |
| 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.76% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.89% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.47% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 4.08% Total : 66.08% | 1-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.4% Total : 17.54% | 1-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.74% ( -0)Other @ 3.36% Total : 16.38% |
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