SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Hacken had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Hacken win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Hacken |
46.1% ( -0.37) | 23.81% ( 0.09) | 30.08% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 59.79% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.92% ( -0.27) | 42.07% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.52% ( -0.28) | 64.48% ( 0.28) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.52% ( -0.26) | 18.47% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.33% ( -0.44) | 49.67% ( 0.44) |
| Hacken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.34% ( 0.04) | 26.66% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.1% ( 0.06) | 61.9% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | Hacken |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.51% Total : 46.1% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 30.08% |
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