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Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 23, 2024 at 6pm UK
Swedbank Stadion
KK

Malmo
4 - 1
KI

Berg Johnsen (21', 43'), Bolin (37'), Rieks (85')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Frederiksberg (71')
Pavlovic (57'), Danielsen (70'), Ejupi (75'), Yambere (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sirius 3-4 Malmo
Friday, July 19 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Differdange 0-0 KI
Wednesday, July 17 at 6pm in Champions League

We said: Malmo 2-0 KI Klaksvik

Considering Klaksvik are not performing quite as well as they did during their title-winning campaign last season, they come into Tuesday's clash as underdogs. Additionally, Malmo's current points trajectory could see them achieve a historic domestic season, and they will be confident of carrying this form into European competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 72.95%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for KI Klaksvik had a probability of 10.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a KI Klaksvik win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawKI Klaksvik
72.95%16.36%10.68%
Both teams to score 51.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.24%36.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.07%58.93%
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.26%8.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.97%30.03%
KI Klaksvik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.04%43.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.91%80.09%
Score Analysis
    Malmo 72.95%
    KI Klaksvik 10.68%
    Draw 16.36%
MalmoDrawKI Klaksvik
2-0 @ 11.41%
2-1 @ 9.38%
1-0 @ 9.36%
3-0 @ 9.27%
3-1 @ 7.62%
4-0 @ 5.65%
4-1 @ 4.64%
3-2 @ 3.13%
5-0 @ 2.76%
5-1 @ 2.26%
4-2 @ 1.91%
6-0 @ 1.12%
5-2 @ 0.93%
6-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 72.95%
1-1 @ 7.69%
2-2 @ 3.85%
0-0 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 16.36%
1-2 @ 3.16%
0-1 @ 3.16%
0-2 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 10.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sirius 3-4 Malmo
Friday, July 19 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Mjallby AIF 2-1 Malmo
Saturday, July 13 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 5-1 Halmstad
Sunday, July 7 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Brommapojkarna 2-2 Malmo
Saturday, June 1 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 2-1 Elfsborg
Tuesday, May 28 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 5-0 Kalmar
Friday, May 24 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Differdange 0-0 KI
Wednesday, July 17 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: KI 2-0 Differdange
Wednesday, July 10 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lille 3-0 KI
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: KI 1-2 Slovan Bratislava
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ljubljana 2-0 KI
Thursday, November 9 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: KI 3-0 Ljubljana
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League


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