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M
Europa League | League Stage
Oct 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Malmo Stadion
O

Malmo
0 - 1
Olympiacos


Loukili (46'), Pena (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
El Kaabi (30')
Carmo (43'), El Kaabi (69'), Tzolakis (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vasteras 1-1 Malmo
Saturday, October 19 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Olympiacos 2-2 Levadiakos
Sunday, October 20 at 2pm in Greek Superleague

We said: Malmo 1-2 Olympiacos

With the Swedish title all but wrapped up, Malmo can pile their full focus onto Thursday night's Europa League clash with Olympiacos at Eleda Stadion. The Sky Blues have stuttered domestically over the past fortnight, and we cannot imagine Thrylos returning to Greece without maximum points from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawOlympiacos
42.65% (-4.204 -4.2) 23.94% (0.07 0.07) 33.41% (4.135 4.14)
Both teams to score 60.92% (1.848 1.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.73% (1.531 1.53)41.27% (-1.53 -1.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.33% (1.536 1.54)63.67% (-1.536 -1.54)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (-1.145 -1.15)19.6% (1.146 1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.46% (-1.899 -1.9)51.54% (1.9 1.9)
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.77% (3.331 3.33)24.23% (-3.329 -3.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.42% (4.503 4.5)58.58% (-4.503 -4.5)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 42.65%
    Olympiacos 33.41%
    Draw 23.94%
MalmoDrawOlympiacos
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.42 -0.42)
1-0 @ 7.74% (-0.856 -0.86)
2-0 @ 6.31% (-0.956 -0.96)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.416 -0.42)
3-2 @ 3.44% (0.045 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.665 -0.67)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.249 -0.25)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.333 -0.33)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 42.65%
1-1 @ 10.97% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.34% (0.305 0.31)
0-0 @ 4.75% (-0.337 -0.34)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.167 0.17)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.94%
1-2 @ 7.78% (0.639 0.64)
0-1 @ 6.73% (0.177 0.18)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.548 0.55)
1-3 @ 3.68% (0.608 0.61)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.403 0.4)
0-3 @ 2.26% (0.44 0.44)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.314 0.31)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.226 0.23)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 33.41%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Vasteras 1-1 Malmo
Saturday, October 19 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 1-1 Varnamo
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Qarabag 1-2 Malmo
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Malmo 2-0 Mjallby AIF
Sunday, September 29 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 0-2 Rangers
Thursday, September 26 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Malmo 4-0 Hacken
Sunday, September 22 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Olympiacos 2-2 Levadiakos
Sunday, October 20 at 2pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Panathinaikos 0-0 Olympiacos
Sunday, October 6 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Olympiacos 3-0 Braga
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Olympiacos 2-0 Atromitos
Sunday, September 29 at 4pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Lyon 2-0 Olympiacos
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Aris 2-1 Olympiacos
Saturday, September 21 at 6pm in Greek Superleague


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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