Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 64.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Vasteras SK had a probability of 16.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 1-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Vasteras SK win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.03) 
