SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
49.89% ( 0.15) | 22.44% ( 0) | 27.68% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 63% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.9% ( -0.12) | 37.1% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.7% ( -0.13) | 59.3% ( 0.13) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.83% ( 0.01) | 15.17% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.22% ( 0.02) | 43.78% ( -0.01) |
| Bodo/Glimt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.26% ( -0.16) | 25.74% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.33% ( -0.22) | 60.67% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 4.06% Total : 49.89% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.44% | 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 27.68% |
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