SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Chelsea |
47.58% ( -1.87) | 22.14% ( 0.68) | 30.28% ( 1.2) |
| Both teams to score 66.07% ( -1.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.12% ( -2.59) | 33.88% ( 2.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.28% ( -3) | 55.73% ( 3.01) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.22% ( -1.56) | 14.78% ( 1.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.96% ( -3.07) | 43.04% ( 3.08) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% ( -0.59) | 22.47% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.98% ( -0.9) | 56.02% ( 0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.5)2-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.29)3-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.3)3-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.31)4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.27)4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.17)5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.19)4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.39% Total : 47.58% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.59) 2-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.43)3-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.14% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.32) 0-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.57)0-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.36)1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.25% Total : 30.28% |
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