SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest PAOK win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Manchester United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester United.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | PAOK |
43.61% ( 0.8) | 23.44% ( -0.15) | 32.94% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 62.58% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.98% ( 0.51) | 39.01% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.66% ( 0.53) | 61.33% ( -0.53) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.73% ( 0.54) | 18.27% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.67% ( 0.91) | 49.32% ( -0.91) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.58% ( -0.12) | 23.42% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.58% ( -0.18) | 57.42% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | PAOK |
| 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.68% Total : 43.61% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.94% |
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