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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 38.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.28%) and 1-3 (4.85%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | FC Twente |
38.01% ( 0.64) | 22.21% ( 0.43) | 39.77% ( -1.08) |
| Both teams to score 68.5% ( -1.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.23% ( -2.22) | 31.77% ( 2.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.7% ( -2.64) | 53.29% ( 2.64) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.39% ( -0.7) | 17.6% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.81% ( -1.23) | 48.18% ( 1.22) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.13% ( -1.35) | 16.86% ( 1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.12% ( -2.46) | 46.88% ( 2.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.5)3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.34)3-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.11% Total : 38.01% | 1-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.35)3-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.21% | 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.4)1-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.19)2-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.21)0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.08)3-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.41% Total : 39.77% |
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