SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 62.09%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 16.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 9-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
62.09% ( 0.22) | 20.96% ( -0.08) | 16.94% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 52.71% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.4% ( 0.12) | 43.6% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.01% ( 0.11) | 65.99% ( -0.11) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.51% ( 0.11) | 13.48% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.5% ( 0.21) | 40.5% ( -0.21) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.92% ( -0.1) | 39.07% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.21% ( -0.09) | 75.79% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 2-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 62.08% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.96% | 0-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 16.94% |
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