SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.72%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 21.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 2-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
21.31% ( -0.97) | 21.97% ( -0.54) | 56.72% ( 1.52) |
| Both teams to score 57.14% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.49% ( 1.24) | 41.51% ( -1.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.09% ( 1.25) | 63.91% ( -1.25) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.8% ( -0.2) | 33.2% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.19% ( -0.22) | 69.81% ( 0.22) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.54% ( 0.92) | 14.46% ( -0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.57% ( 1.75) | 42.42% ( -1.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 2-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.33)2-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.3% Total : 21.31% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.27)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.97% | 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 8.98% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 6.38% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 5.79% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 3.08% ( 0.2)0-4 @ 2.8% ( 0.2)2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.1)1-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.12)0-5 @ 1.08% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.02% Total : 56.72% |
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