Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 17.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
0.13) 
-0.05) 
