SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 16.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 3-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
65.23% ( -0.05) | 18.22% ( 0.01) | 16.54% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.89% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.7% ( -0) | 31.29% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.26% ( -0.01) | 52.73% ( 0.01) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.94% ( -0.01) | 9.05% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.2% ( -0.03) | 30.8% ( 0.03) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.05% ( 0.03) | 31.95% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.59% ( 0.04) | 68.4% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.62% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.95% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.58% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.35% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.61% 5-1 @ 2.2% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.93% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.26% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 4.19% Total : 65.23% | 1-1 @ 7.93% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.89% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0)Other @ 0.32% Total : 18.22% | 1-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.3% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.88% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 16.54% |
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