While El Salvador will be desperate to get off to a winning start under their new manager, we think that they will have to be content with a point, having failed to win an away international since January 2022.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Martinique win with a probability of 46.26%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 26.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Martinique win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Martinique in this match.
-0.51) 
0.62) 
