SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | El Salvador | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Trinidad and Tobago | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Curacao | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Martinique | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | El Salvador | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Trinidad and Tobago | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Curacao | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Martinique | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 77.24%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Martinique had a probability of 7.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.08%) and 1-0 (10.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Martinique win it was 0-1 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Panama | Draw | Martinique |
77.24% ( 0.22) | 14.96% ( -0.09) | 7.8% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 43.7% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.17% ( -0.06) | 39.82% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.82% ( -0.06) | 62.18% ( 0.06) |
| Panama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.49% ( 0.04) | 8.51% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.52% ( 0.09) | 29.47% ( -0.09) |
| Martinique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.76% ( -0.36) | 52.23% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.84% ( -0.24) | 86.15% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panama | Draw | Martinique |
| 2-0 @ 13.49% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.09)1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 4.43% ( -0)5-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.19% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.78% Total : 77.23% | 1-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.56% Total : 14.96% | 0-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.67% Total : 7.8% |
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