SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | El Salvador | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Trinidad and Tobago | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Curacao | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Martinique | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | El Salvador | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Trinidad and Tobago | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Curacao | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Martinique | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 18.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guatemala | Draw | El Salvador |
56.53% ( -6.08) | 25.03% ( 2.42) | 18.44% ( 3.66) |
| Both teams to score 43.49% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.59% ( -3.36) | 57.41% ( 3.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.78% ( -2.74) | 78.22% ( 2.74) |
| Guatemala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.7% ( -3.5) | 20.3% ( 3.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.33% ( -5.91) | 52.67% ( 5.91) |
| El Salvador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.56% ( 2.81) | 45.44% ( -2.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.72% ( 2.13) | 81.28% ( -2.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guatemala | Draw | El Salvador |
| 1-0 @ 14.7% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 11.72% ( -1.17)2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 6.23% ( -1.44)3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.67)4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.94)4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.53)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.31% Total : 56.52% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 1.07) 0-0 @ 9.22% ( 1.12)2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.22)Other @ 0.55% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.28% ( 1.37) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.74)0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.72)1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.27)2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.13)Other @ 1.56% Total : 18.44% |
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