SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 14.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.45%) and 1-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Mauritania win it was 1-0 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Egypt in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mauritania | Draw | Egypt |
14.17% ( -0.71) | 23.01% ( -0.21) | 62.82% ( 0.91) |
| Both teams to score 40.64% ( -0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.46% ( -0.43) | 56.54% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.47% ( -0.35) | 77.52% ( 0.34) |
| Mauritania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.33% ( -1.3) | 50.66% ( 1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.89% ( -0.9) | 85.11% ( 0.9) |
| Egypt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.38% ( 0.17) | 17.61% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.8% ( 0.29) | 48.19% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mauritania | Draw | Egypt |
| 1-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.46% Total : 14.17% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.44% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 15.49% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 13.45% ( 0.36)1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 7.79% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 5.3% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 3.38% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 2.3% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.08)0-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.98% Total : 62.81% |
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