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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 55.28%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 1-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
55.28% ( 0.07) | 21.19% ( 0) | 23.53% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 63.13% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.97% ( -0.1) | 35.03% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.97% ( -0.12) | 57.02% ( 0.11) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.25% ( -0.02) | 12.74% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61% ( -0.03) | 38.99% ( 0.03) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.35% ( -0.11) | 27.65% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.8% ( -0.15) | 63.19% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.6% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.4% 4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 55.28% | 1-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.19% | 1-2 @ 6% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.91% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.63% Total : 23.53% |
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