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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 58.19%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 22.4% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.08%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
58.19% ( -1.62) | 19.4% ( 0.26) | 22.4% ( 1.36) |
| Both teams to score 68.43% ( 1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.41% ( 0.55) | 27.58% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.77% ( 0.69) | 48.22% ( -0.69) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.39% ( -0.22) | 9.61% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.88% ( -0.51) | 32.12% ( 0.5) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% ( 1.39) | 24.29% ( -1.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.33% ( 1.93) | 58.67% ( -1.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.35)1-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 5% ( -0.32)4-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.22)5-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.08)4-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.07)5-2 @ 1.37% 5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.12)Other @ 4.1% Total : 58.19% | 1-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.14)0-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.56% Total : 19.4% | 1-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.6% Total : 22.4% |
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