SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Wellington Phoenix has a probability of 28.4% and a draw has a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win is 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.61%).
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
28.4% ( -0.82) | 24.6% ( 0.11) | 46.99% ( 0.71) |
| Both teams to score 55.98% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.4% ( -0.96) | 46.59% ( 0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.13% ( -0.91) | 68.87% ( 0.91) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.89% ( -1.08) | 30.1% ( 1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.75% ( -1.31) | 66.24% ( 1.31) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.09% ( -0.09) | 19.9% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.96% ( -0.14) | 52.03% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.15% Total : 28.4% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.04% 0-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.92% Total : 46.99% |
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