Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
