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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 56.56%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.9%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
56.56% ( -0.66) | 19.99% ( 0.28) | 23.45% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 67.63% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.82% ( -0.94) | 29.18% ( 0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.8% ( -1.15) | 50.2% ( 1.15) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.5% ( -0.46) | 10.5% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.83% ( -1.04) | 34.17% ( 1.04) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.56% ( -0.26) | 24.44% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.13% ( -0.36) | 58.87% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.1)1-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.09)4-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.53% Total : 56.56% | 1-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.52% Total : 19.99% | 1-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 23.45% |
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